Decision Analysis Workshop

Vanderbilt-Nigeria Building Research Capacity in HIV and Non-communicable Diseases, November 2023

Workshop Schedule

Date	Time	Topic		Notes
Monday	9:00 - 9:45 am	Welcome and Introductions	JG
	9:45 - 10:00	Introduction to Decision Analysis
	10:00-11:00	Decision Trees and Probabilities	JZ
	11:00-11:15	Tea Break
	11:15 - 11:00	Case Study: Probabilities and Decision Trees		Answer Key
	1:00 - 1:45 pm	Lunch Break
	1:45 - 3:15 pm	Case Study: Construct a Decision Tree in Excel		Answer Key
	3:15 - 3:45 pm	Review Case Studies / Group Discussion: Decision Trees
	4:00-4:30 pm	Install Amua
Tuesday	9:00 - 9:15	Daily Recap
	9:15-9:45	Group Case Study: Beach Decision Tree in Amua	JZ
	9:45 - 10:45	Bayes’ Theorem and Probability Revision
	10:45 - 11:00	Tea Break
	11:00 - 12:30	Case Study: Bayes’ Theorem [Case 1 Only] Case Study: Construct a Decision Tree in Amua		PDF Version Word Version Answer Key: Bayes’ Theorem Answer Key: Amua
	12:30 - 1:00	Case Study: Bayes’ Theorem [Please complete Case 1 (if needed) and Case 2]		PDF Version Word Version Answer Key: Bayes’ Theorem
	1:00 - 2:00	Lunch Break
	2:00 - 2:30	Continue Bayes Case Study
	2:30 - 3:15	Treatment Thresholds & Value of Information	JZ
	3:15 - 3:30	Tea Break
	3:30 - 4:30	Case Study: Decision Thresholds		PDF Version Word Version Amua Model
Wednesday	9:00-9:15	Daily Recap
	9:15 - 10:30	CEA Fundamentals 1: Costs	JZ
	10:30 - 10:45	Tea Break
	10:45 - 12:00	CEA Fundamentals 2: Health Outcomes	JZ
	12:00 - 1:30	CEA Fundamentals 3: Incremental Cost Effectiveness Analysis	JG
	1:30 - 2:30	Lunch
	2:30 - 4:30	Case Study: Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Analysis		PDF Version Word Version Answer Key
Thursday	8:15 - 11:00	Having Impact Through Research: You See My Glory, but You Don’t Know My Story Prof. Gbenga Ogedegbe, MD MPH (NYU)		Conference Hall (Nutrition and Dietetics Department)
	11:00 - 11:15	Daily Recap
	11:15 - 1:00	Markov Models	JG
	1:00 - 2:00	Lunch
	2:00 - 2:45	Deterministic & Scenario Analysis	JG
	2:45-4:00	Advanced Modeling Techniques
Friday
	9:00 - 9:15	Daily Recap
	9:15 - 9:30	Introduction to Markov Model Case Study
	9:30 - 11:00	Case Study: Markov Models
	11:00 - 11:45	Group Case Study: Outcomes and Incremental CEA
	11:45 - 12:00	Certificate Ceremony		tmp